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October 12–13, 2007


Likelihood Methods in Finance

Every year, the Bendheim Center for Finance organizes a concentrated conference on a specific topic, alternating between themes in mathematical finance and in financial econometrics. In 2008, the conference theme will be a topic in financial mathematics.

In 2007, the conference theme was a topic in financial econometrics, specifically: Likelihood Methods in Finance. The talks covered topics such as:

- Closed-form likelihood expansions and their uses
- Comparisons of different methods
- Small sample improvements on likelihood
- Bayesian use of likelihood
- Local likelihood and quasi-likelihood in financial modeling
- Empirical likelihood
- Use of likelihood methods in model-building and specification testing
- Likelihood applications to financial models: term structure, volatility, etc.
- Treatment of latent variables in likelihood methods

Location: Bendheim Center for Finance, Princeton University
Conference organizers: Yacine Ait-Sahalia, Jianqing Fan
Registration: Open to the public, subject to a registration fee (waived for our corporate affiliates). Please contact Phyllis Fafalios for further information. Financial support from JP Morgan is gratefully acknowledged.

Friday, October 12

Registration and Lunch (Bendheim Center)

Session Chair: Yacine Ait-Sahalia

  • Robert Engle, New York University. Vector Multiplicative Error Models: Representation and Inference, Abstract
  • Enno Mammen, University of Mannheim. A Specification Test for a Class of GARCH-in-Mean Models, Abstract
  • Per Mykland, University of Chicago. Inference for Continuous Semimartingales Observed at High Frequency: A General Approach, Abstract
  • Yazhen Wang, University of Connecticut. High Dimensional Volatility Modeling and Analysis for High-Frequency Financial Data, Abstract

Break

Session Chair: Robert Engle

  • Yacine Ait-Sahalia, Princeton University. Likelihood Inference for Diffusions: A Survey, Abstract
  • Stan Hurn, Queensland University of Technology. Horses for Courses: Polynomial-based Approximations of Transitional Density, Abstract
  • Osnat Stramer, University of Iowa. Likelihood-based Inference for Discretely Observed Diffusion Processes: A Critical Review, Abstract
  • Jialin Yu, Columbia University. Closed-Form Likelihood Approximation and Estimation of Jump-Diffusions with an Application to the Realignment Risk of the Chinese Yuan, Abstract

Reception and Dinner (Palmer House; by invitation only)

Saturday, October 13

Breakfast (Bendheim Center)

Session Chair: Jianqing Fan

  • Gareth Roberts, University of Warwick. Perfect simulation and inference for diffusions, Abstract
  • Omiros Papaspiliopoulos, University of Warwick. Recent Advances in the Simulation and Filtering for Partially Observed Diffusion Processes, Abstract
  • Michael Sorensen, University of Copenhagen. On Likelihood Inference for Stochastic Volatility Models, Abstract
  • Robert Kimmel, Ohio State University. Asset Prices and Conditional Moments in Multifactor Non-Affine Models, Abstract

Break

Session Chair: Enno Mammen

  • Jianqing Fan, Princeton University. Nonparametric Specification Tests for Diffusions Models in Financial Econometrics, Abstract
  • Samuel Thompson, Harvard University. Identifying Term Structure Volatility from the LIBOR-Swap Curve, Abstract
  • Haitao Li, University of Michigan. A Tale of Two Yield Curves: Modeling the Joint Term Structure of Dollar and Euro Interest Rates, Abstract
  • Paul Schneider, Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration. Globally Optimal Parameter Estimates for Nonlinear Diffusion Processes with Expected Likelihood, Abstract

Lunch (Bendheim Center)

Session Chair: Gareth Roberts

  • Jiti Gao, University of Western Australia. Edgeworth Expansions and Specification Testing in Continuous-Time Financial Models, Abstract
  • Jun Yu, Singapore Management University. Maximum Likelihood and Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models in Finance, Abstract
  • Song Xi Chen, Iowa State University. Conditional Characteristic Function Based Parameter Estimation and Model Testing using Empirical Likelihood, Abstract
  • Chengyong Tang, Iowa State University. Parameter Estimation and Bias Correction for Diffusion Processes, Abstract
  • Daniel Smith, Simon Frasier University. Risk and Return in Stochastic Volatility Models: Volatility Feedback Matters!, Abstract