James R. Clapper, the Director of National Intelligence, recently presented a presentation on threat assessment to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, and China was a large component of his remarks on East Asia. He contends that Xi Jinping’s leadership will largely emphasize domestic objectives and that China’s hawkish behavior in maritime disputes will likely stay constant or escalate. China’s bullishness is spurred by increasingly Sinocentric readings of history, and
China recently conducted a test of an HGV (Hypersonic Glide Vehicle) missile system. The missile test reached a speed of Mach 10 and hint at advances in China’s anti-ship ballistic missile (ABSM) technologies. HGV missiles are harder to intercept than other missile systems because they approach targets from a relatively flat angle and are very maneuverable. They are also very precise. U.S. pundits argue that the U.S. now needs better missile interception systems. Current systems generally
Andrew S. Erickson, a China and the World fellow in the 2010-2011 academic year, recently co-authored an article in Asia Policy with Austin M. Strange on China’s naval security policies. He argues that in two key, pirate-ridden areas, the Gulf of Aden and the Mekong River, Chinese policy is driven by “pragmatic calculations of its national interests” and not “traditional ideologies and principles”. Tradition may drive China’s views of its claims in t
Former CWP Fellow Andrew Erickson of the US Naval War College writes on China's near-seas challenges. THE U.S. National Intelligence Council forecasts that China will become the world’s largest economy (measured by purchasing-power parity) in 2022. Jane’s predicts that by 2015 People’s Liberation Army (PLA) funding will double to $238 billion, surpassing that of NATO’s eight largest militaries after the United States combined. The International Institute for Strategic
Former CWP Fellow, Ja Ian Chong, Assistant Professor at the National University of Singapore, recently published an article entitled, "Popular Narratives versus Chinese History: Implications for Understanding an Emergent China" in the European Journal of International Relations. The full article may be found here, here, and here.
Closely associated with China’s growing prominence in international politics are discussions about how to understand Chinese history, and h
The State Department posted a fact sheet on the US engagement in the Asia-Pacific. Secretary of State John Kerry is quoted as "As a Pacific nation that takes our Pacific partnership seriously, the United States will continue to build on our active and enduring presence.” Fact sheet here.
Douglas H. Paal, in “Contradictions in China’s Foreign Policy,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 13 December 2013, writes on China's new leadership and its far more proactive diplomacy. Paal writes that President Xi Jinping is displaying self-confidence that seems to match the mood of the times in China, one of renewed nationalism and self-assertion. In most neighboring capitals this development will be viewed positively but warily; in Manila and Tokyo, less
On Dec. 5, a Chinese warship nearly collided with a U.S. Navy guided missile cruiser, according to U.S. Pacific Fleet. “While lawfully operating in international waters in the South China Sea, USS Cowpens (CG 63) and a PLA Navy vessel had an encounter that required maneuvering to avoid a collision. This incident underscores the need to ensure the highest standards of professional seamanship, including communications between vessels, to mitigate the risk of an unintended incident or m
Former CWP Fellow, Professor Andrew Erickson of the US Naval War College, and Princeton Politics PhD candidate, Adam Liff, recently published a paper that applies sunlight to China's Defense spending. They write, "China's limited transparency concerning its defence spending harms strategic trust, but foreign analysts often lose sight of important realities. Specific details remain unclear, but China's defence spending overall is no mystery – it supports PLA moderniza
Former CWP Fellow, Professor Yinan He of Seton Hall University recently published an article in China Perspectives on Sino-Japanese relations. She writes: "Post-normalisation Sino-Japanese relations have been fraught with contradictions. In particular, three paradoxes stand out over the past 40 years. First, despite many shared geopolitical and economic interests, China and Japan have never developed genuine strategic cooperation, and since the 2000s have even evinced a trend towards