Political Methodology Colloquium

Faculty Leaders:  John Londregan/Kosuke Imai
Coordinator:  Dustin Tingley
Day/Time:  Fridays, noon-1:30 p.m.
Location:  127 Corwin Hall ** except where noted

SPRING 2009

Date: Presenter: Topic:
Feb 6
Don Green (Yale)
Treatment, Control, and Placebo: Efficient
Estimation for Three-Group Experiments
Feb 13
Scott Ashworth and Josh Clinton (Princeton) How Did the Swift-Boat Ads Work
Feb 20
***Cancelled***
Feb 27
Benjamin Lauderdale (Princeton) What Identification Conditions for Ideal Point
Estimators Teach Us About the Politicization of Citizens
Mar 6
Simon Jackman (Stanford) Tracking Public Opinion Over the 2008 Election: a hierarchical, dynamic linear model
Mar 13
John Londregan (Princeton) A Fireproof Gibbs Algorithm
Mar 27
Peter Bussieret (Princeton)


Mike Miller (Princeton)
A Political Foundation for Factor Misallocation in A Dual Sector Harris Todaro Economy (Bussieret)

Democratic Stability and Economic Growth: Retrospective vs. Prospective Models (Miller)
April 3
***No Meeting due to the Midwest conference***
April 10
Dustin Tingley (Princeton) The Dark Side of the Future: An Experimental Test of Commitment Problems in Bargaining
April 17
Jonathan Katz (Caltech) Correcting For Survey Misreports Using Auxiliary Information With An Application To Estimating Turnout
April 24 Kasia Hebda (Princeton) Models of Informational Lobbying Coalitions
May 1 Shigeo Hirano (Columbia) Primary Competition and General Election Outcomes
May 8
Will Bullock (Princeton)
TBA
FALL 2008
Date: Presenter: Topic:
Sep 12
Jake Shapiro (Princeton)
Can Hearts and Minds Be Bought? The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq
Sep 19
Charles Manski (Northwestern)
Adaptive Partial Policy Innovation:
Coping with Ambiguity through Diversification
Sep 26
Jee-Kwang Park (Princeton) An estimation of actual sampling errors in presidential approval polls: time-series factor analysis approach
Oct 3
Samuel S.H. Wang (Princeton) Meta-Analysis of Presidential Polls: 'Prediction Is Hard, Especially Of The Future'
Oct 10
Alexandre d'Aspremont (Princeton) Model Selection Through Sparse Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Multivariate Gaussian or Binary Data
Oct 17 Jeff Lax (Columbia) Estimating Public Opinion in the States: Gay Rights and Policy Responsiveness
Paper 1
Paper 2
Oct 24
*035 Robertson*
Will Bullock and Dustin Tingley (Princeton)
Seminar moved to 035 Robertson
Congressional Responsiveness to Public Opinion Regarding the Central American-Dominican Republic Free Trade Agreement
Nov 7 No Meeting No Meeting
Nov 14
*300 Wallace*
Richard Chiburis (Princeton)
Seminar moved to 300 Wallace
Approximately Most Powerful Tests for Moment
Inequalities
Nov 21
TBA Graduate Student Conference on Experiments in Interactive Decision Making and Group Dynamics
Dec 5
*023 Robertson*
Aaron Strauss (Princeton)
Seminar moved to 023 Robertson
Planning the Optimal Get-out-the-vote Campaign Using Randomized Field Experiments
Dec 12
Teppei Yamamoto (Princeton) A Counterfactual Analysis of Necessary and Sufficient Causation: Nonparametric Identification and Inference with an Instrumental Variable
Dec 19
Stephanie Wang (Caltech)
Dustin Tingley (Princeton)
Private Information, Beliefs and Strategic Behavior: An Experimental Test of the Crisis Bargaining Game Model