Riskfree interest rate is the theoretical rate of return of an investment with zero risk, including default risk. The riskfree rate represents the interest that an investor would expect from an absolutely riskfree investment over a given period of time.^{[1]} Therefore, a rational investor will reject all the investments yielding subriskfree returns.
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Riskfree assets
Though a truly riskfree asset exists only in theory, in practice most professionals and academics use shortdated government bonds of the currency in question. For USD investments, usually US Treasury bills are used, while a common choice for EUR investments are German government bills or Euribor rates. The mean real interest rate of US treasury bills during the 20th century was 0.9% p.a. (Corresponding figures for Germany are inapplicable due to hyperinflation during the 1920s.)^{[2]}
These securities are considered to be riskfree because the likelihood of these governments defaulting is perceived to be extremely low and because the short maturity of the bill protects the investor from interestrate risk that is present in all fixed rate bonds (if interest rates go up soon after the bill is purchased, the investor will miss out on a fairly small amount of interest before the bill matures and can be reinvested at the new interest rate).
Since this interest rate can be obtained with no risk, it is implied that any additional risk taken by an investor should be rewarded with an interest rate higher than the riskfree rate (on an aftertax basis, which may be achieved with preferential tax treatment; some local government US bonds give below the riskfree rate).
Application
The riskfree interest rate is thus of significant importance to Modern Portfolio Theory in general, and is an important assumption for rational pricing. It is also a required input in financial calculations, such as the BlackScholes formula for pricing stock options and the Sharpe Ratio. Note that some finance and economic theories assume that market participants can borrow at the risk free rate; in practice, of course, very few borrowers have access to finance at the risk free rate.
Why riskfree?
One explanation for the assumption that no default risk exists is due to the nature of government debt. For a fiat currency, the government retains the theoretical capacity to print as much of that currency as will be required to pay its own debts (in that currency). In this case, true default is theoretically impossible: owners of government debt can always be paid, but with money that may have substantially lower value. Rather than reflecting the default risk of the government, the riskfree interest rate, therefore, reflects the likelihood that the government will print money to pay its debts,^{[dubious – discuss]} thereby debasing the currency. Note that this does not apply to some currencies, such as the Euro,^{[dubious – discuss]} because no individual government of the Eurozone has the authority to print currency. Of course, many countries have other measures and institutions, such as theoretically independent central banks, to reduce the likelihood of such an occurrence.
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