Richard Jeffrey, Curriculum Vitae


Teenage logical positivism led me to Chicago for an MA with Carnap and, years later, to Princeton for a PhD with Hempel. My view of probability ("radical probabilism" in Probability and the Art of Judgment, 1992) grew out of that. So did a collaboration with Carnap; see Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability (1971, 1980). The Logic of Decision (1965, 1983; 1990) was the product of my long labor (1960-4), and Bolker's and Gödel's merciful midwifery (1964). Formal Logic: Its Scope and Limits (1967, 1981, 1991) was inspired when Raymond Smullyan cleared up Evert Beth's "tableau" method for me, on the street in New York, one day. The logic half of Computability and Logic (1974, 1980, 1989; by the 3rd ed. it was two thirds) came into being when George Boolos joined in. When George died in 1996 I edited his collected papers (Logic, Logic, and Logic, 1999), with lots of help from his other friends---notably, John Burgess. When Hempel died in 1997 I edited his Selected Philosophical Essays (2000). I miss them keenly.



1 "Valuation and Acceptance of Scientific Hypotheses", Philosophy of Science 23 (l956) 237-246

2 "On indeterminate conditionals". Philosophical Studies 14 (1963) 33-48

3 Review of Putnam,"What theories could not be", Journal of Philosophy 59 (1964)79-88

4 "New Foundations for Bayesian decision theory" Logic, Methodology, and Philosophy of Science (Y. Bar-Hillel, ed.), North Holland, l965, pp. 289-300

5 The Logic of Decision, McGraw Hill, l965

6 "Goodman's Query", Journal of Philosophy 63 (l966) 281-8

7 Formal Logic: Its Scope and Limits, McGraw Hill, l967

8 "The Whole Truth", Synthese 18 (l968) 24-27

9 "Probable Knowledge" in Lakatos., ed., The Problem of Inductive Logic, North Holland, l968, pp. l66-l80, 189-190

10 "Statistical Explanation vs. Statistical Inference" N. Rescher, ed., Essays in Honor of Carl G. Hempel, Reidel (1969) 104-113

11 "Dracula meets Wolf Man: Acceptance vs. partial belief". Swain (ed.). Induction, Acceptance, and Partial Belief, Reidel, 1970, 157-185

12 Homage to Rudolf Carnap, Boston Studies in the Philosophy of Science, Vol VIII (Buck & Cohen, eds.), Reidel, 1971, pp. xix-xxii

13 "Remarks on explanatory Power". ibid., pp. 40-46

14 Edited, with Carnap: Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability, I. University of California Press, 1971

15 "On Interpersonal Utility Theory", Journal of Philosophy 68(l97l)647-657

16 "Probability Measures & Integrals" in 14, 167-223

17 With G. Boolos: Computability and Logic, Cambridge (1974)

18 "Preference Among Preferences", Journal of Philosophy 71 (l974) 377-39l

19 "Frameworks for Preference", M. Balch, D. McFadden and S. Y. Wu, eds., Essays on Economic Behavior Under Uncertainty, North-Holland, l974, pp. 74-79

20 "Remarks on interpersonal utility theory", S. Stenlund (ed.), Logical Theory and Semantic Analysis, 35-44, Reidel, l974

21 "Probability and Falsification: Critique of the Popper Program", Synthese 30 (l975) 95-ll7 and l49-l57

22 "Carnap's empiricism", Induction, Probability and Confirmation (Maxwell and Anderson, eds., Minnesota, l975, pp.37-49.

23 "Carnap's inductive logic", Rudolf Carnap, Logical Empiricist, Reidel, 1977, pp. 325-332.

24 "Mises Redux", Basic Problems in Methodology and Linguistics, R. Butts and J. Hintikka (eds.): Reidel. 1977, pp. 213-222

25 "A Note on the Kinematics of Preference", Erkenntnis 11(l977)135-141

26 "Savage's Omelet", PSA l976, Vol. 2 (Proceedings of the l976 Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association). The Philosophy of Science Association, East Lansing, Michigan, 1977, pp.36l-367

27 "Axiomatizing the Logic of Decision", in C.A. Hooker, J.T. Leach, and E.F. McClellen (eds.), Foundations and Applicatins of Decision Theory, Vol. l, 227-23l,Reidel, Dordrecht, Holland, l978

28 "Coming True", in Cora Diamond and Jenny Teichman, eds., Intention and Intentionality, pp. 251-260, Harvester, 1979

29 "How is it reasonable to base preferences on estimates of chance?" Science, Belief, and Behaviour, D.H. Mellor, ed., Cambridge, 1980, pp. l79-l87

30 Edited: Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability, II. University of California Press, 1980

31 With G. Boolos: Computability and Logic, 2nd ed., Cambridge, 1980

32 "Choice, chance, and credence," Contemporary Philosophy, A New Survey: Philosophy of Logic, ed. G.H. von Wright and G. Fløistad, pp. 367-386, Martinus Nijhoff, l98l

33 Formal Logic: Its Scope and Limits, McGraw Hill, 2nd ed., 1981

34 "The Logic of Decision Defended:", Synthese 48 (1981) 473-492

35 The Logic of Decision, 2nd ed., University of Chicago Press, 1983

36 "Bayesianism with a Human Face," in Testing Scientific Theories (Minnesota Studies in the Philosophy of Science, vol. l0), ed. John Earman, Minnesota, l983

37 "The Sure Thing Principle," PSA l982, Vol. 2, pp. 7l9-730, Philosophy of Science Assn., E. Lansing, Michigan, l983

38 "De Finetti's Probabilism," Synthese 60 (l984) 73-90

39 "The impossibility of inductive probability" (reply to Popper and Miller), Nature 310 (1984) 433

40 "An assessment of the subjectivistic approach to probability," Epistemologia 7 (l984) 9-32 (special issue on Probability, Statistics and Inductive Logic)

41 "Probability and the art of judgment," Observation and Experiment in Modern Science, ed. Peter Achinstein and Mark Hannaway, MIT-Bradford (l985)133-156

42 "Animal interpretation," Action and Events, ed. Ernest Lepore and Brian McLaughlin, Basil Blackwell (l985)481-487

43 "Judgmental probability and objective chance," Erkenntnis 24 (1986) 5-16

44 "Probabilism and induction", Topoi 5 (1986) 51-58

45 "Alias Smith and Jones: the Testimony of the senses", Erkenntnis 26 (1987) 391-399

46 "Risk and Human Rationality", Monist 70 (1987) 223-36

47 "Indefinite Probability Judgment", Philosophy of Science 54 (1987) 586-591

48 "Conditioning, kinematics and exchangeability", Brian Skyrms and William Harper (eds.), Causation, Chance and Credence, vol. I, pp. 221-255: Reidel, 1988

49 "How to probabilize a Newcomb problem" in James H. Fetzer (ed.) Probability and Causality, Reidel (1988) 241-251

50 "Roulette Russa: un problema per i Bayesiani". Epistemologia ed Economia, M.C. Galavotti and G. Gambetta (ed.): CLUEB, Bologna, 1988, 15-20

51 "Biting the Bayesian bullet: Zeckhauser's problem". Theory and Decision 25(1988)117-122

52 With G. Boolos: Computability and Logic, Cambridg, 3rd ed., 1989

53 Edited, with M.C. Galavotti: Bruno de Finetti's Philosophy of Probability, double issue of Erkenntnis 31 (1989) 165-416

54 "Probabilism", a translation (with M.C. DiMaio and M.C. Galavotti) of Bruno de Finetti's Probabilismo, in 53, 169-223

55 "Reading Probabilismo": Erkenntnis 30 (1989) 225-237

56 With Michael Hendrickson: "Probabilizing pathology", Proc. Aristotelian Soc. 89 (1988/89) 211-225

57 The Logic of Decision, paperback correction of 2nd ed. Chicago, 1990

58 Formal Logic: Its Scope and Limits, 3rd ed. McGraw Hill, 1990

59 "Frank Ramsey", TLS, 17 May 1991

60 "After Carnap", Erkenntnis (1991). Translated: "Dopo Carnap" in L'eredità di Rudolf Carnap, Alberto Pasquinelli (ed.), Bologna (1995)

61 Probability and the Art of Judgment (selected essays), Cambridge, 1992

62 "Take back the day! Jon Dorling's Bayesian solution to the Duhem problem", Science and Knowledge, ed. Enrique Villanueva, Ridgeview (1993) 197-207

63 "From logical empiricism to radical probabilism", Scientific Philosophy: Origins and Developments, ed. F. Stadtler, Kluwer (1993) 121-130; corrected in (1992) ch. 1.

64 "Probability dynamics and causality", PSA 92, vol. 2, ed. Asquith & al., Philosophy of Science Assn. (1993)

65 "Causality in the logic of decision," Philosophical Topics 21 (1993) 139-151

66 (With Robert Stalnaker) "Conditionals as random variables," pp. 31-46 of Probability and Conditionals, Ellery Eells and Brian Skyrms (eds.): Cambridge, 1994

67 "Carnap's voluntarism." pp. 847-866 of Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science IX, D. Prawiz, B. Skyrms and D. Westerståhl (eds.): Elsevier, 1994

68 "Probability reparation: the problem of new explanation," Philosophical Studies 77 (1995) 97-101

69 Translation of A. N. Kolmogorov's "Complete metric boolean algebras," Philosophical Studies 77 (1995) 57-66

70 "A Brief Guide to the Work of Carl Gustav Hempel", Erkenntnis 42 (1995) 3-7

71 "Bayes's Theorem", "Computability", Decision Theory", and "Ramsey", Cambridge Dictionary of Philosophy, Cambridge, 1995

72 "Logicism 2000", Benacerraf and his Critics, Stephen Stich and Adam Morton (eds.), Blackwell (1996) 160-164

73 "Decision kinematics", Kenneth J. Arrow et al. (eds.), Rational Foundations of Economic Behaviour, St. Martin's (1996) 3-19

74 "Unknown Probabilities", Erkenntnis 41 (1996) 1-9

75 Edited, with Cristina Bicchieri and Brian Skyrms: The Dynamics of Norms, Cambridge, 1997

76 "Probabilistic Epistemology", Conceptual Tools for Understanding Nature, G. Costa, G. Calucci and M. Giorgi (eds.), World Scientific (1997), pp. 127&endash;134

77 Edited , with John Burgess: Logic, Logic, and Logic, by George Boolos, Harvard, 1998

78 "Agreeing to disagree: Harsanyi and Aumann" in Game Theory, Experience, Rationality, Werner Leinfellner (ed.), Kluwer, 1998.

79 With Matthias Hild and Mathias Risse: "Preference Aggregation after Harsanyi", Justice, Political Liberalism, and Utilitarianism, Maurice Salles and John A. Weymark (eds.), Cambridge 2004.

80 Edited, with Cristina Bicchieri and Brian Skyrms: The Logic of Strategy, Oxford, 1999

81 With Matthias Hild and Mathias Risse: "Aumann's 'No Agreement' Theorem Generalized", in 80 above.

82 Edited: Selected Philosophical Essays, by C. G. Hempel, Cambridge, 2000

83 Petrus Hispanus Lectures: I. "After Logical Empiricism" II. "Radical Probabilism" Actas da Sociedade Portuguesa da Filosofia 2002.

84 "Epistemology Probabilized", in B. Bouchon-Meunier, J. Guitterez-Rios, L. Magdalena and R.R. Yaeger (eds.), Technologies for Constructing Intelligent Sysytems, Springer (2002)

85 "Logicism Lite", Philosophy of Science 69 (2002) 447-451.