Working Papers

"Decision Theoretic Approaches to Experiment Design and External Validity" (with Abhijit Banerjee and Erik Snowberg), to appear in the Handbook of Field Experiments.

"Mostly Prior-Free Portfolio Allocation", 2016.

"Collusion in Auctions with Constrained Bids: Theory and Evidence from Public Procurement" (with Juan Ortner), 2015.

"Data-Driven Incentive Alignment in Capitation Schemes" (with Mark Braverman), 2015.

"Batched Bandit Problems" (with Vianney Perchet, Philippe Rigollet, Erik Snowberg), forthcoming, Annals of Statistics.

"Making Collusion Hard: Asymmetric Information as a Counter-Corruption Measure" (with Juan Ortner), 2014.

"Corruption, Initimdation, and Whistleblowing: A Theory of Inference from Unverifiable Reports" (with Gerard Padro i Miquel), 2014.

"Rewards and Punishments: Informal Contracting through Social Preferences" (with Christian Zehnder), forthcoming Theoretical Economics.


"Accounting for Behavior in Treatment Effects: New Applications for Blind Trials" (with Erik Snowberg, Cayley Bowles and Ben Seymour), PLoS One, 2015.
Supplement: On the Cost of Running Two-by-Two Blind Trials.

"Calibrated Incentive Contracts," Econometrica, 2013.

"Selective Trials: A Principal-Agent Approach to Randomized Controlled Experiments" (with Gerard Padro i Miquel and Erik Snowberg), American Economic Review , 2012.

"Robustness to Incomplete Information in Repeated Games" (with Satoru Takahashi), Theoretical Economics, 2011.

"Conflict and Deterrence under Strategic Risk" (with Gerard Padro i Miquel), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2010.

"Fear of Miscoordination and the Robustness of Cooperation in Dynamic Global Games with Exit," Econometrica, 2010.

"Building Routines: Learning, Cooperation and the Dynamics of Incomplete Relational Contracts," American Economic Review, 2010

"Economic Shocks and Civil War" (with Gerard Padro i Miquel ), Quarterly Journal of Political Science , 2010.

"Savings and Predation" (with Gerard Padro i Miquel ), Journal of the European Economic Association, Papers and Proceeding, , 2010.

"Defensive Weapons v.s. Defensive Alliances" (with Gerard Padro i Miquel ), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceeding , 2009.

"Uniform Selection in Global Games," Journal of Economic Theory, 2008.