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Accidents at Nuclear Waste Decommissioning Sites

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The most likely method for decommissioning nuclear wastes is to store them at Yucca Mountain. Thus the biggest possibility for an accident that would release dangerous amounts of nuclear waste into the environment is likely to happen at a repository such as Yucca Mountain. This section uses the Yucca Mountain Project as a model and summarizes an accident scenario study performed by the Department of Energy (DOE) in their Environmental Impact Statement for the Yucca Mountain Project.

For this study, the DOE examined all of the accidents that could possibly occur on the system. These possible accidents ranged from human initiated acts such as fires, explosions, or aircraft crashes, to natural phenomenon such as seismic activity, or extreme weather, to such internal accidents such as human error, or system failure. They then put together a series of sequences that could lead to any accidents that would result in the leakage of radioactive materials. They calculated the probabilities of all of the events in the sequence and from that, obtained probabilities for each of the events.

The DOE next analyzed the magnitude of radiation the each of four classifications of individuals would be exposed to. The first classification is the involved worker, who is a factory worker who is directly involved in activities at the location where the accident occurs. The second classification is the maximally exposed noninvolved worker. This worker is assumed to not be involved with the accident, but works at the plant. He must be at least 100 feet downwind of the site of the accident when it occurs. The third classification is the maximally exposed offsite individual. This person is assumed to be between 8 to 11 kilometers from the site of the accident (the calculated maximum offsite point of radiation exposure). The analysis of this type of person is different from the other three because this individual is only assumed to be exposed to a single dose of radiation because this person is not supposed to be on the government land. The final classification of people is the offsite people. This group of people is characterized by people who are within 80 kilometers of the site.

Overall, the DOE studied ten possible scenarios for two possible conditions: 50th percentile meteorological conditions and 95th percentile meteorological conditions. Fiftieth percentile meteorological conditions are those that have conditions more severe than then 50% of the time, 95th percentile meteorological conditions are only surpassed 5% of the time. The shown graphs represent the results found by the DOE.8

Radiological consequences of accidents at the Yucca Mountain site for 50th percentile meteorological conditions. Source
Radiological consequences of accidents at the Yucca Mountain site for 95th percentile meteorological conditions. Source