Squam
Lake Report: Fixing the Financial System
(with Kenneth R. French et al.) Princeton
University Press, June 2010 (
background
to report) (
link
to
Amazon page)
Discussion of “The Leverage Cycle” by John
Geanakoplos (
link
to discussion) NBER Macroeconomics Annual
2009, 24, 75-84, University of Chicago Press,
November 2009
Prices and Quantities in the Monetary Policy
Transmission Mechanism (with
Tobias
Adrian)(
link
to
paper) International Journal of Central
Banking, 5(4), 131-142, 2009
Money, Liquidity and Monetary Policy (with
Tobias
Adrian)(
link
to
paper) American Economic Review (papers
and proceedings), 99, 600–605, 2009
Yen Carry Trade and the Subprime Crisis (with
Masazumi Hattori) (
link
to paper) IMF Staff Papers, 56, 384-409,
2009
Geneva Report on the World Economy 11: The
Fundamental Principles of Financial Regulation
(with
Markus
Brunnermeier Andrew
Crockett Charles
Goodhart and
Avinash
Persaud), June 2009 (
conference
version) (
VoxEU
page) (
link
to final version)
Securitisation and Financial Stability Economic
Journal, 119, 309 – 332 (2009), paper presented
as the Economic Journal Lecture at the 2008
Royal Economic Society Conference (
pdf
file of paper) (
presentation
slides) (
VoxEU
page) (
audio
interview for Vox)
Reflections on Northern Rock: The Bank Run
that Heralded the Global Financial Crisis
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 23-1, 101-119
(Winter 2009) (
paper)
(
link
to longer working paper version) (
link
to
JEP issue) (
short
version
in Italian) (
Economist
article)
Financial Regulation in a System Context (with
Stephen
Morris) Brookings Papers on Economic
Activity, Fall 2008, 229-274 (
link
to paper) (
presentation
slides)
Financial Intermediaries, Financial Stability
and Monetary Policy (with
Tobias
Adrian)(
pdf
file of paper) Proceedings of the 2008
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Symposium at
Jackson Hole, August 2008 (
Jackson
Hole
Symposium page with link to discussion)
Leveraged Losses: Lessons from the
Mortgage Market Meltdown (with
David
Greenlaw,
Jan
Hatzius and
Anil
Kashyap)
US
Monetary Policy Forum Report No. 2
(2008) (
some
press
comment)
Risk and Liquidity in a System Context (
pdf
file) Journal of Financial Intermediation,
17, 315-329 (2008)
Marking to Market: Panacea or Pandora’s
Box? (with
Haresh
Sapra and
Guillaume
Plantin), Journal of Accounting Research,
46, 435 – 460 (2008) (
link
to paper) (
link
to powerpoint file) (
audio
interview for Vox) (
some
press comment)(
non-technical
summary in Banque de France Financial
Stability Review )(
French
version)
Optimal Communication (with
Stephen
Morris) (
pdf
file), Journal of the European Economic
Association, 5, 594-602, conference proceedings
(2007)
Catalytic Finance: When Does It Work?
(with
Stephen
Morris) (
pdf
file) (
powerpoint
presentation), Journal of International
Economics, 70, 161-177 (2006)
Beauty Contests and Iterated Expectations in
Asset Markets (with
Franklin
Allen and
Stephen
Morris) (
pdf
file) (
slides),
Review of Financial Studies, 19, 719 – 752
(2006)
Disclosure Risk and Price Drift (
pdf
file) (
slides)
Journal of Accounting Research, 44, 351 – 379
(2006)
Inertia of Forward-Looking Expectations (with
Stephen
Morris) (
pdf
file) (
slides)
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings,
96(2), 152-157 (2006)
Reply to "Social Value of Public
Information: Morris and Shin (2002) is
Actually Pro Transparency Not Con" (with
Stephen
Morris and Hui Tong) (
pdf
file) short note in American Economic
Review, 96(1), 453-455 (2006). This short note
was written in response to a
comment
by
Lars Svensson.
Imperfect Common Knowledge and the Information
Value of Prices (with Jeffery Amato) (
pdf
file) (
slides),
Economic Theory, symposium issue on monetary
policy, 27, 213 – 241 (2006).
Central Bank Transparency and the Signal Value
of Prices (with
Stephen
Morris) (
pdf
file) (
powerpoint
slides) Brookings Papers on Economic
Activity, Issue 2, 2005, 1 – 66.
Heterogeneity and Uniqueness in Interaction
Games (with
Stephen
Morris) (
PDF
file) in
The
Economy
as an Evolving Complex System III, edited
by
L.
Blume and
S.
Durlauf.
Santa Fe
Institute Studies in the Sciences of
Complexity. New York: Oxford
University Press, (2005).
The Analytics of Sovereign Debt Restructuring
(with Andy Haldane, Adrian Penalver and Vicky
Saporta) (
pdf
file) Journal of International Economics
65, 315-333, (2005) (
link
to
Bank of England working paper version)
Opening and Closing the Market: Evidence
from the London Stock Exchange (with
Andrew
Ellul and
Ian
Tonks) (
link
to paper on SSRN) Journal of Financial and
Quantitative Analysis, 40, 779 – 801, (2005).
Liquidity Risk and Contagion (with Rodrigo
Cifuentes and Gianluigi Ferrucci) Journal of the
European Economic Association, 3, 556-566 (2005)
(link to
long
version
of paper).
Liquidity and Contagion: the Crisis of 1763
(with
Isabel
Schnabel) (formerly entitled
“Foreshadowing LTCM: the Crisis of 1763”),
Journal of the European Economic Association,
2(6), 929-968, (2004) (
abstract)
(
pdf
file) (
slides).
Does One Soros Make a Difference? A Theory
of Currency Crises with Large and Small Traders
(with
Giancarlo
Corsetti, Amil
Dasgupta and
Stephen
Morris) (
pdf
file) (
abstract)
Review of Economic Studies, 71 (1), 87-114
(2004)
Crisis costs and debtor discipline: the efficacy
of public policy in sovereign debt crises (with
Prasanna Gai and Simon Hayes) Journal of
International Economics, 62, 245-262 (2004) (
link
to typescript) (
link
to
Bank of England working paper version)
Coordination Risk and the Price of Debt (with
Stephen
Morris) (
abstract)
European Economic Review, 48, 133 - 153
(2004) (
link
to typescript)
Debt Maturity Structure with Pre-emptive
Creditors (with Prasanna Gai) (
PDF
file), Economics Letters, 85(2), 195
- 200, (2004) (
link
to
Bank of England working paper version)
The Impact of Risk Regulation on Price Dynamics
(with
Jon
Danielsson and
Jean-Pierre
Zigrand) Journal of Banking and
Finance, 28, 1069-1087 (2004) (
abstract)
(
link
to typescript)
Liquidity Black Holes (with
Stephen
Morris) Review of Finance, 8, 1-18
(2004) (
link
to paper on Review of Finance site) (
link
to typescript) (
slides)
Disclosures and Asset Returns (
PDF
file) (
Slides)
Econometrica, 71 (1), 105 - 133, (2003)
Global Games: Theory and Applications
(with
Stephen
Morris) (
PDF
file) (
Abstract),
in Advances in Economics and Econometrics, the
Eighth World Congress (edited by M. Dewatripont,
L. Hansen and S. Turnovsky),
Cambridge University Press, (2003).
Social Value of Public Information (with
Stephen
Morris) (
PDF
file for paper)(
PDF
file for Appendix) (
Slides)
American Economic Review, 52 (5), 1521-1534
(2002).
Equilibrium Departures from Common Knowledge in
Games with Non-Additive Expected Utility (with
Sujoy
Mukerji) Advances in Theoretical
Economics, BE Press (2002) (
link
to paper on BE Press site)
Rethinking Multiple Equilibria in Macroeconomic
Modelling (with
Stephen
Morris) (
PDFfile)
(
Abstract)
(
Slides)
NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, 139 - 161, MIT
Press, 2001.
Approximate Common Knowledge in a Search Model
in P. Hammond and G. Myles (eds) Incentives,
Organization and Public Economics: Papers in
Honour of Sir James Mirrlees, Oxford University
Press, 2000 (
PDF
file)
A Theory of the Onset of Currency Attacks (with
Stephen Morris) (
PDF
file) in The Asian Financial Crisis
(edited by P.-R. Agenor, M. Miller, D. Vines and
A. Weber), Cambridge University Press, 1999.
A violation of dominance and the consumption
value of gambling (with Johnnie Johnson and
Raymond O'Brien) Journal of Behavioral Decision
Making, 12, 19-36, 1999 (
pdf
file)
Unique Equilibrium in a Model of Self-Fulfilling
Currency Attacks (with
Stephen
Morris) American Economic Review, 88,
587-597 (1998) (
pdf
file) (
Summary),
reprinted
in
New
Research
in Financial Markets, edited by
B. Biais
and
M.
Pagano, Oxford University Press (2002);
reprinted in
Credit,
Intermediation
and the Macroeconomy, edited by
S.
Bhattacharya,
A.
Boot and
A.
Thakor, Oxford University Press (2004).
Adversarial and Inquisitorial Procedures in
Arbitration Rand Journal of Economics, 29,
378-405 (1998) (
PDF
file) (
Summary).
International Environmental Agreements under
Uncertainty (with
Seong-lin
Na) Oxford Economic Papers, 50, 173-185
(1998) (
PDF
file)
The Rationality and Efficacy of Decisions under
Uncertainty and the Value of an Experiment (with
Stephen Morris), Economic Theory, 9, 309-324
(1997)
Approximate Common Knowledge and
Coordination: Some Lessons from Game
Theory (with
Stephen
Morris) Journal of Logic, Language and
Information, 6, 171-190 (1997) (
PDF
file)
How Much Common Belief is Necessary for a
Convention? (with
Timothy
Williamson) Games and Economic Behavior,
13, 252-268 (1996) (
link
to
paper) Reprinted in C. Bicchieri, ed.,
The
Logic
of Strategy: 119-136. Oxford: Oxford
University Press, 1999.
Comparing the Robustness of Trading Systems to
Higher Order Uncertainty Review of Economic
Studies, 63, 39-59 (1996) (
PDF
file)
Depth of Knowledge and the Effect of Higher
Order Uncertainty (with Stephen Morris and
Andrew Postlewaite) Economic Theory, 6, 453-467
(1995)
p-Dominance and Belief Potential (with Stephen
Morris and Rafael Rob) Econometrica, 63, 145-158
(1995)
The Burden of Proof in a Game of Persuasion
Journal of Economic Theory, 64, 253-263 (1994) (
link
to
abstract and paper on Elsevier site)
News Management and the Value of Firms Rand
Journal of Economics, 25, 58-71 (1994)
Representing the Knowledge of Turing Machines
(with
Timothy
Williamson) Theory and Decision, 37,
125-146, (1994), reprinted in M. Bacharach,
L.-A. Gérard-Varet, P. Mongin and H.S.
Shin, eds., Epistemic Logic and the Theory of
Games and Decisions: 169-190. Dordrecht: Kluwer
Academic Publishers, 1997.
Logical Structure of Common Knowledge Journal of
Economic Theory, 60, 1-13 (1993) (
link
to
abstract and paper on Elsevier site)
Measuring the Incidence of Insider Trading in a
Market for State-Contingent Claims Economic
Journal, 103, 1141-1153 (1993).
A Comment on a Model of Vertical Product
Differentiation (with C. J. Choi) Journal of
Industrial Economics, 40, 229-231.
Prices of State Contingent Claims with Insider
Traders and the Favourite Longshot Bias Economic
Journal, 102, 426-435, (1992)
Optimal Betting Odds Against Insider Traders
Economic Journal, 101, 1179-85, (1991)
A Reconstruction of Jeffrey's Notion of
Ratifiability in Terms of Counterfactual Beliefs
Theory and Decision, 31, 21 - 47 (1991)