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Markus K. Brunnermeier
Edwards S. Sanford Professor of Economics 
Princeton University 
Department of Economics 
Bendheim Center for Finance and International Economics Section
26 Prospect Avenue, Princeton, NJ 08540 
Phone: (609) 258-4050   Fax: (609) 258-0771 
email: markus@princeton.edu  web: http://www.princeton.edu/~markus

 

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News

07/01/10

Guggenheim Fellowship for studying "Financial Frictions and the Macroeconomy" -- various Video links

 

06/03/10

2010 T.W. Schultz Prize
 
| Lecture |

 

05/20/10

ECB Presentation (Papademos Colloquium)

 

05/17/10

Berlin Lecture in Finance on the New Financial Architecture - Deutsche Version

 

05/11/10

Zeitungsinterview zur Krise in Griechenland

 

02/27/10

Hearing: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission of the United States of America

 

01/11/10

Lecture for Central Bankers and Financial Regulators

 

08/06/09

The Economist asked me to respond to Bob Lucas' article
 
| Lucas' article || My response |

 

06/10/09

Bernácer Prize awarded annually to a European economist under 40
 
| Program || González-Páramo Speech (ECB link) || Acceptance Speech || Bernácer Lecture || Photos || Media Coverage |

 

26/01/09

Geneva Report: The Fundamental Principles of Financial Regulation (with Andrew Crockett, Charles Goodhart, Avi Persaud and Hyun Shin) - reviewed in the New York Book Review

 

11/15/08

Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-08 - slidesfeatured in New York Times - Chinese version: 解密2007—2008年的流动性和信贷萎缩

 

08/14/08

Charlie Rose Show on bubbles, financial crisis and Fed (Roundtable with Harrison Hong and Wei Xiong)

 

03/15/08

Bubbles - Entry in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics - Wall Street Journal front-page article

Profile   A different profile in the Yale Economic Review

Markus K. Brunnermeier is the Edwards S. Sanford Professor at Princeton University. He is a faculty member of the Department of Economics and affiliated with Princeton's Bendheim Center for Finance and the International Economics Section. He is also a research associate at CEPR, NBER, and CESifo, and a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He was awarded his Ph.D. by the London School of Economics (LSE), where he was also affiliated with its Financial Markets Group.
His research focuses on financial crisis, bubbles and significant mispricings due to institutional frictions, strategic considerations, and behavioral trading. It explains why liquidity dries up when it is needed the most and has important implications for risk management and financial regulation. He is a Sloan Research Fellow and the recipient of the Bernácer Prize granted for outstanding contributions in the fields of macroeconomics and finance. He recently received a Guggenheim Fellowship for studying the impact of financial frictions on the macroeconomy. He is also an associated editor of the American Economic Review, Journal of European Economic Association, Journal of Finance and was previously on the editorial board of the Review of Financial Studies and the Journal of Financial Intermediation.

Research    A summary in the NBER Reporter

Work in Progress

A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector, with Yuliy Sannikov, slides. (updated version coming soon)

The i-Theory of Money with Yuliy Sannikov, slides. (coming ...)

Risk Topography  with Gary Gorton and Arvind Krishnamurthy, slides.

Liquidity and Systemic Risk.

Manuscripts

The Maturity Rat Race, with Martin Oehmke, slides.

Computational Complexity and Information Asymmetry in Financial Products, with Sanjeev Arora, Boaz Barak, and Rong Ge, slides.

CoVaR, with Tobias Adrian, slides.
    Predicting and measuring a financial institution's contribution to systemic risk that internalizes externalities and avoids procyclicality.

Complexity in Financial Markets, with Martin Oehmke, slides.

An Economic Model of the Planning Fallacy, with Filippos Papakonstantinou and Jonathan Parker, slides.

Leadership, Coordination and Mission-Driven Management, with Patrick Bolton and Laura Veldkamp.
    Winner of JP Morgan Prize for the best paper at the Utah Winter Finance Conference, 2008.
   Overconfident leaders make more precise mission statement which enhances coordination among the followers by reducing the leaders' time-inconsistency problem.  

Contrasting Different Forms of Price Stickiness: Exchange Rate Overshooting and the Beggar Thy Neighbor Policy, with Clemens Grafe; October 1999.
    Contrasts retail and whole sale price stickiness in the new open macroeconomic setting. 

Publications

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Asset Pricing under Asymmetric Information - Bubbles, Crashes, Technical Analysis and Herding
Oxford University Press, 2001.

Articles

Clock Games: Theory and Experiments, with John Morgan; Games and Economic Behavior, forthcoming, 2006 version, slides.
    Timing games with pre-emption and waiting motive as well as information clustering.

A Note on Liquidity Risk Management, with Motohiro Yogo; American Economics Review (Papers and Proceedings), 2009, 99(2), 578-583, slides.
    Duration hedging might give the wrong prescription for minimizing rollover risk.

Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007-08, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2009, 23(1), 77-100, slides.
    NBER 08 longer version
    Version in Chinese     
解密2007—2008年的流动性和信贷萎缩   
    Deutsche Version

Carry Trades and Currency Crashes, with Stefan Nagel and Lasse Pedersen, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2008, 2009, 23, 313-347, slides.
    Currency crash risk caused by sudden unwinding of carry trades may discourage speculators from taking on large enough positions to enforce UIP. 

Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity, with Lasse Pedersen; Review of Financial Studies, 2009, 22(6), 2201-2238, slides.
    Market liquidity and the funding of traders are mutually reinforcing, giving rise to "liquidity phenomena" like fragility, commonality and flight to quality.

Do Wealth Fluctuations Generate Time-varying Risk Aversion? Micro-Evidence on Individuals' Asset Allocation, with Stefan Nagel, American Economic Review, 2008, 98(3), 713-736.
    Wealth shocks do not change the fraction individuals invest in risky assets, suggesting that individuals' risk aversion is not time-varying.

Money Illusion and Housing Frenzies, with Christian Julliard; Review of Financial Studies, 2008, 21(1), 135-180, slides.
    The confusion between changes in nominal and real interest rates boosts real house prices when inflation declines.

Optimal Beliefs, Asset Prices and the Preference for Skewed Returns, with Christian Gollier and Jonathan Parker; American Economics Review (Papers and Proceedings), 2007, 97(2), 159-165.
    Different households overinvest in different positively skewed assets, making portfolio returns idiosyncratically skewed and lowering returns on these skewed assets.

Optimal Expectations, with Jonathan Parker; American Economics Review, 2005, 95(4), 1092-1118.
    A structural model of "optimal" belief distortions due to anticipatory utility.

Predatory Trading, with Lasse Pedersen; Journal of Finance, 2005, 60(4), 1825-1863.
    Barclays Global Investors Award for the best conference paper at the European Finance Association, 2003.
    Nominated for Smith Breeden Prize for the best article published in the Journal of Finance, 2005.
    When a large trader has to liquidate, "predators" also sell and withdraw liquidity. This leads to price overshooting and systemic risk.

Information Leakage and Market Efficiency; Review of Financial Studies, 2005, 18(2), 417-457.
    BGI/Micheal Brennan Award (runner up) for the best paper published in the Review of Financial Studies, 2005.
    Information leakage lowers market efficiency in the long run.

Hedge Funds and the Technology Bubble, with Stefan Nagel; Journal of Finance, 2004, 59(5), 2013-2040.
    Winner of Smith Breeden Prize for the best article published in the Journal of Finance, 2004.
    Hedge funds were riding the technology bubble instead of exerting a price correcting force.

Learning to Re-optimize Consumption at New Income Levels: A Rationale for Prospect Theory; Journal of European Economic Association,  2004, 2(1), 98-114.
    Rationalizes three elements of Prospect Theory.

Bubbles and Crashes, with Dilip Abreu; Econometrica, 2003, 71(1), 173-204.
    Bubbles persist since each rational arbitrageur does not know when other arbitrageurs will attack.

Synchronization Risk and Delayed Arbitrage, with Dilip Abreu; Journal of Financial Economics, 2002, 66, 341-360.
    Reprinted in The Psychology of World Equity Markets, edited by Werner De Bondt, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd. Cheltenham, U.K.
    Models the Wile E. Coyote effect, since synchronization risk leads to market timing by arbitrageurs and delays arbitrage.

Disclosure Requirements and Stock Exchange Listing Choice in an International Context, with Steven Huddart and John S. Hughes. Journal of  Accounting and Economics, 1999, 26(1-3), 237-269.
    Competition among exchanges leads to a "race to the top" in disclosure standards.

Other Publications

The Fundamental Principles of Financial Regulation, 11th Geneva Report on the World Economy, with Andrew Crockett, Charles Goodhart, Avi Persaud and Hyun Shin, 2009.

Bubbles, Entry in The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, edited by Steven Durlauf and Lawrence Blume, 2nd edition, 2009.

Inflation Illusion, Credit and Asset Pricing: A Comment, on Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider's article in "Asset Pricing and Monetary Economics," edited by John Y. Campbell, 2008.

 

Summary of my Research (outdated)







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