Upcoming and Recent Events
Conference of the Pennsylvania/New Jersey chapter of American Association for Public Opinion Research (PANJAAPOR)
Location: Wallace 300, Princeton University
Trent D. Buskirk, Ph.D. is Vice President of Statistics and Methodology at Marketing Systems Group. Formerly a Research Director for the Nielsen Company and Associate Professor of Biostatistics in the Department of Biostatistics of the Saint Louis University School of Public Health, Dr. Buskirk has been conducting research relating to the use of cell phones and smartphones in survey research for over 13 years. His research interests also include dual frame weighting for cell phone surveys, as well as mode effects related to cell phone surveys, online and in-person surveys. Dr. Buskirk’s research work has appeared in various journals including the Journal of Official Statistics, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Field Methods, Social Science Computer Review and Survey Practice. He is currently the Chair of the American Statistical Association’s Survey Review Committee, as well as a member of AAPOR’s Emerging Technologies Task Force.
Past Events and Lectures
The 2009 Elections: What’s at Stake for Obama?
Date and Time: Wednesday October 14, 2009
Reception: 5:30 PM
Presentation: 6:00 PM
Location: Bowl 16, Robertson Hall
Patrick Murray, Director, Monmouth University Polling Institute
Cliff Zukin, Professor of Public Policy and Political Science, Eagleton Institute of Politics and the Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy
Edward Freeland, Director, Survey Research Center, Princeton University
Moderator: Naila Rahman, Assistant Director, Survey Research Center, Princeton University
Patrick Murray is the founding director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. Murray’s prior experience was with the Rutgers-Eagleton Poll and the Bloustein Center for Survey Research. In addition to political and issue polling, he has directed numerous assessments for public agencies, image and message testing studies, and regional service evaluations..
Cliff Zukin is a professor of public policy and political science at the Eagleton Institute of Politics and the Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy. He is a national expert on opinion polling, mass media and American politics, and often provides election night exit poll analysis for network television. Zukin is a co-author of A New Engagement: Political Participation, Civic Life, and the Changing American Citizen (2006). Zukin also is a senior research fellow at the John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development, where he co-directs the acclaimed Work Trends survey series. The most recent survey, “The Anxious American Worker: Jobs, the Economy and a Call for Help,” received international attention. Cliff Zukin was president of the American Association for Public Opinion Research in 2005-06 and worked for NBC news in the 2004 election and more recently for Edison/Mitofsky Research, who conducted the 2008 national exit polls.
Edward Freeland is the Director of the Princeton University Survey Research Center and a Lecturer at the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University. Dr. Freeland manages day-to-day operations at the SRC, teaches a graduate course in Survey Research Methods, and advises faculty and students who are conducting survey research projects. Before coming to Princeton, Dr. Freeland was a Senior Research Director in the Social and Policy Research group at Response Analysis in Princeton, NJ, where he was responsible for developing new projects in the areas of social welfare and health policy. Dr. Freeland received his Ph.D. in Sociology from Princeton University in 1992. He currently serves as president of the New Jersey chapter of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.
Naila Rahman is the Assistant Director of Princeton Survey Research Center. She manages the web survey facility of the center. Naila works collaboratively with faculty, students and administrators who want to design and implement research projects based on interviews conducted by telephone, mail or over the Internet.
Click here to view the web simulcast
The Woodrow Wilson School of Public and
and the Princeton University Survey Research Center present:
"The Cell Phone-Only Population and its Growing Impact on Telephone Surveys: Evidence from Two Recent Surveys"
||Professor Cliff Zukin of Rutgers University discussed two projects from his recent research on the growing cell-phone only population and its impact on telephone surveys. The first study was a dual-frame survey on health care policy, looking specifically at the differences between land line and cell phone samples of New Jersey residents. The second study used new data from the Election Day exit polls, and looked at the growth and distribution of cell phone-only voters and first time voters in the 2008 elections.
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Reception: 5:15 PM
Presentation: 6:00 PM
Wallace Hall, Room 300
“The 2008 Presidential Election: Can the State Polls be Trusted?”
Tuesday October 7, 4:30 PM
Christopher Achen, Associate Chair, Department of Politics, Princeton University
Larry Hugick, Chairman, Princeton Survey Research Associates International
Andrew Gelman, Departments of Statistics and Political Science, Columbia University
Joe Lenski, Executive Vice President and Co-Founder, Edison Media Research
Co-sponsors: Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics, The New York and New Jersey chapters of the American Association for Public Opinion Research
Pollsters routinely point to their industry’s long record of success in predicting the outcome of the popular vote for the U.S. president. However, it is the statewide elections that matter most, since the president is chosen through the Electoral College and not through a national popular vote. In close national elections, reliable state polls and insightful state-level voting analyses are essential parts of predicting electoral votes and the result of the Presidential election, as well as control of the Congress. Given the likelihood of yet another close election in 2008, our ability to predict the ultimate outcome depends greatly on polls taken at the state level. But who is conducting these polls and how much does their reliability vary from state to state? What are the key demographic and social trends that really drive voting trends in the battleground states? Moreover, how will the statewide polls be affected by having, for the first time in history, a major party candidate who is African American?
Click here to view the web simulcast.
"Envisioning the Survey Interview of the Future"
Michael F Schober
Professor of Psychology and
Dean of the New School for Social Research
Michael Schober discussed his recent research on the impact of new and emerging communication technologies on the survey interview and explore methods and criteria that can be used to evaluate these technologies.
Date: Monday December 11, 2006
Time: 4:30 PM
Location: Bowl 016 Robertson Hall
RealVideo: 56K 300K
Lecture on Media Reporting of Public Opinion Polls
On Tuesday, October 3, 2006 Gary Langer, director of polling for ABC News, presented a lecture entitled “When Polls Mislead: Setting Standards for Media Reporting on Public Opinion Surveys.”
Gary Langer is one of the nation’s leading news pollsters, known for the depth and acuity of his analysis as well as the breadth of his subject matter. The first and only pollster to have been awarded a news Emmy, Langer has produced influential and groundbreaking surveys on politics, presidential elections, consumer confidence, health care, war and terrorism, education and more—including the first media-sponsored national public opinion polls in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Gary Langer's lecture focused on interest groups and public relations agencies that produce a steady flow of manufactured polls, designed not to assess public attitudes or behavior but to promote a product, a client or a point of view. These kinds of polls are readily absorbed by the news media, filling newspapers and airwaves across the country with pseudo data that misinform and distort public discourse. Langer provided an overview of these kinds of “promotional” polls and discuss the vetting operation ABC News has put in place to try to elevate the standards for media reporting on public opinion.
The lecture was co-sponsored by the Survey Research Center, the Center for Study of Democratic Politics and the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs.
RealVideo: 56K 300K
Sampling Techniques for Hard-To-Reach Populations
On Thursday, February 9, 2006 Prof. Douglas Heckathorn presented a lecture entitled “Respondent Driven Sampling – A Method for Drawing a Representative Sample of Rare and Hard-To-Reach Populations.” A sociologist at Cornell University, Prof. Heckathorn first developed respondent-driven sampling (RDS) almost ten years ago as a technique for constructing representative samples of rare or hard-to-reach populations, groups that are difficult to study, but often of great interest to social scientists and policy makers.
RDS combines “snowball sampling” (asking respondents to refer people they know to be interviewed, and then asking these individuals to refer additional people, and so on) with a mathematical model that weights the sample to compensate for the fact that the sample was initially collected in a non-random way. This model is based on a synthesis and extension of two areas of mathematics, Markov chain theory and biased network theory, which until RDS were generally not used in scientific sampling theory. RDS enables researchers to provide both unbiased population estimates and measures of the precision of those estimates. This technique extends the realm within which statistically valid samples can be drawn, to include many groups of importance to public health, public policy, and arts and culture.
The lecture was co-sponsored by the Survey Research Center, the Industrial Relations Section, and the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs.
Whose Morals? What Values?: A Panel Review of the 2004 Presidential Election Polls
Monday, November 29 at 7:00 PM
Reception for NJAPOR members 6:30-7:00 PM
Exit polls in the 2004 presidential election seemed to indicate the importance of moral values as a key issue for supporters of President Bush. When asked to choose from a list of seven issues what was most important in deciding their vote, Bush supporters chose moral values four times more often than Kerry supporters. Some observers have suggested this result says more about problems that can result from a poorly worded survey question than about the ascendance of moral values as a key issue in the election. Others argue, however, that the poll results may signal a key rallying point for social conservatives, a group whose power to sway the election may have been underestimated.
To shed some light on this controversy, the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs has assembled a panel of experts that includes Frank Newport, editor-in-chief of the Gallup Poll, Gary Langer, Director of Polling for ABC News, Murray Edelman, Director of Statistics in the Election and Survey Unit at CBS News, and Larry Bartels, Stokes Professor of Public and International Affairs and Director of the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics.
The panel presentation is free and open to the public. It is co-sponsored by the Princeton University Survey Research Center and the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics.
Room 016 Robertson Hall, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University
RealVideo: 56K 300K
Neither Doves Nor Hawks: The Re-Shuffling of Israeli Public Opinion on the Middle East Conflict 2000-2003
Tamar S. Hermann
Director of the
Tami Steinmetz Center
for Peace Research
Tel Aviv University
Chairperson of the Department of Sociology and Political Science
The Open University of Israel
4:30 p.m., Thursday, May 1, 2003
Robertson Hall, Bowl 016
Dr. Hermann’s research specialization and publications
focus on the making of foreign policy, public opinion and national
security, and Israeli politics and extra-parliamentary activity,
especially that of peace movements. She is the author of many
articles, books, and edited volumes, including National Security and
Public Policy in Israel; The Israeli-Arab Peace Negotiations-
Politics and Concepts; Integration or Separation: Examination of
the Future Relations Between Israel and the Palestinian State; and
Crack in the Israeli Identity.
Dr. Hermann was a research fellow at the Center for
International Studies at Princeton University and at the International
Center for Conflict Analysis and Resolution, George Mason University.
She served as the principal investigator of the Israeli research team
with the International Study of Peace Organizations, sponsored by the
Non-Profit Sector, Aspen Institute, Washington, DC, and as the principal
investigator of “Coming Out of Violence”, an international project
coordinated by INCORE, Ulster University, North Ireland.
RealVideo: 56K 300K
For more information, contact Ed Freeland at