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Economics Journals
Papers on the Web
Nonlinear Policy Rules and the Identification and Estimation of Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design, with
David Card, Zhuan Pei, and Andrea Weber, NBER Working Paper #18564.
Previous version:
Quasi-Experimental Identification and Estimation in the Regression Kink Design, with
David Card and Zhuan Pei, Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #553.
Optimal Minimum Wage Policy in Competitive Labor Markets, with
Emmanuel Saez, in Journal of Public Economics, 96(2012) 739-749.
Previous version:
Optimal Minimum Wage Policy in Competitive Labor Markets, NBER Working Paper #14320.
Long-run Impacts of Unions on Firms:
New Evidence from Financial Markets, 1961-1999,
with Alexandre Mas, in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127(1), 333-378. Online
Appendix. Previous version: NBER Working Paper #14709.
Program Evaluation and Research Designs (From Science Direct), with
John DiNardo, in Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 4A, Previous version: NBER Working Paper #16016.
Regression Discontinuity Designs in Economics, with Thomas
Lemieux, in Journal of Economic Literature,
48(2) 281-355. Working paper version:
Regression
Discontinuity Designs in Economics NBER Working Paper
#14723.
The Deterrence Effect of Prison: Dynamic Theory and Evidence , with Justin McCrary, Industrial Relations Section Working Paper #550. Previous version:
Crime, Punishment, and Myopia, NBER Working Paper #11491.
Training, Wages, and Sample Selection: Estimating Sharp Bounds on Treatment Effects, in
Review of Economic Studies, 76(3) 1071-1102. Previous versions:
February 2008 ,
NBER Working Paper #11721 ,
Trimming for Bounds on Treatment Effects with Missing Outcomes, NBER Technical Working Paper #277, Center for Labor Economics Working Paper #51 .
Bayesian Learning and the Pricing of New Information: Evidence from Prediction Markets, with Enrico Moretti, in
AEA Papers and Proceedings , 99(2) 330-342.
Regression Discontinuity Inference with Specification Error,
with David Card, in Journal of Econometrics, 142(2) 655-674. Working paper version:
Regression Discontinuity Inference with Specification Error, NBER Technical Working Paper #322. Previous version:
Center for Labor Economics Working Paper #74.
Randomized Experiments from Non-random Selection in U.S. House
Elections, in Journal of Econometrics, 142(2) 675-697.
Supplemental Mathematical Appendix Previous version:
The Electoral Advantage to Incumbency and Voters' Valuation of
Politicians'
Experience: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis of Elections to the
U.S. House, NBER Working Paper #8441.
          • Received
Journal of Econometrics Aigner Award for 2007-2008.
The Costs of Low Birth Weight, with Douglas Almond and Kenneth Y. Chay,
in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(3), 1031-1083. Working paper version:
The Costs of Low Birth Weight, NBER Working Paper #10552.
Economic Impacts of New Unionization on Private Sector Employers: 1984-2001, with John DiNardo,
in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(4), 1383-1441. Working paper version:
Economic Impacts of Unionization on Private Sector Employers:
1984-2001, NBER Working Paper #10598.
Do Voters Affect or Elect Policies? Evidence from the U.S. House, with Enrico Moretti and Matthew J. Butler,
in Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(3), 807-859. Working paper version:
Credibility and Policy Convergence: Evidence from U.S.
Roll Call Voting Records, NBER Working Paper #9315.
Changes in Relative Wages in the 1980s: Returns to Observed and
Unobserved Skills and Black-White Wage Differentials, with
Kenneth Y. Chay, Journal of Econometrics, 99(1), 1-38.
Wage Inequality in the United States During the 1980s: Rising Dispersion or
Falling Minimum Wage? in Quarterly Journal of Economics,
114(3), 977-1023.
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