Working Papers

Older Papers:

  1. Business Cycle Properties of Selected U.S. Economic Time Series, 1959-1988 (with James H. Stock), NBER WP 3376 1990.
  2. Confidence Sets in Regressions with Highly Serially Correlated Regressors (with James H. Stock), Revised December 1996.
  3. Empirical Bayes Regression With Many Regressors (with Thomas Knox and James H. Stock), Revised January 2004.
  4. Optimal Tests for Reduced Rank Time Variation in Regression Coefficients and Level Variation in the Multivariate Local Level Model (with Piotr Eliasz and James H. Stock), Revised October 2004.
  5. Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis (with James H. Stock), Revised June 2005.
  6. Measuring Changes in the Value of the Numeraire (with Ricardo Reis), May 2007.

Newer Papers:

  1. Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation (with James Stock), July 2018.
  2. Inference in SVARs Identified with External Instruments (with Jose L. Montiel Olea and James Stock), November 2018.