Publications


Published Papers

  • "Measuring Aggregate Price Indexes with Taste Shocks: Theory and Evidence for CES Preferences," (joint with David Weinstein), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135(1), 503-560, 2020. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix] [Vox EU Article]

  • "The Impact of the 2018 Trade War on U.S. Prices and Welfare," (joint with Mary Amiti and David Weinstein), Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(4), 187-210, 2019. [PDF] [CEPR DP Version] Media coverage:
    [Paul Krugman New York Times] [New York Times] [Financial Times] [Economist] [Wall Street Journal] [Washington Post] [Time] [Chicago Tribune] [National Public Radio Marketplace] [CNN] [Fox News] [NBC] [Bloomberg] [Vanity Fair] [Yahoo Finance] [Business Insider] [Market Watch] [Associated Press] [PBS] [CNBC] [Fortune] [Quartz] [Barrons] [Physorg] [Eurekalert] [Japan Times] [Business Telegraph] [South China Morning Post] [China Daily] [Washington Examiner] [Long Room] [WWS Princeton] [Stigler Center Chicago Booth] [Public Radio International] [Voxtalks Podcast] [Economik] [Der Spiegel] [New York Times Editorial] [New York Times Front Page] [NPR All Things Considered] [BBC News] [Financial Times] [Greg Ip Wall Street Journal] [San Francisco Chronicle] [Liberty Street Economics] [New York Times] [Bloomberg] [CBS News] [Financial Times] [Paul Krugman New York Times] [Newsweek] [Wall Street Journal] [Economist] [Minnesota Star and Tribune] [Bloomberg] [New York Times Opinion] [CEP Centerpiece]

  • "Task Specialization in U.S. Cities from 1880-2000" (joint with Guy Michaels and Ferdinand Rauch), Journal of the European Economic Association, 17(3),754-798, 2019. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix] [Replication Dataset] [Article in The Atlantic]

  • "Aggregation and the Gravity Equation" (joint with David Weinstein), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 109, 450-455, 2019. [PDF]

  • "Commuting, Migration and Local Employment Elasticities" (joint with Ferdinando Monte and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg), American Economic Review, 108(12), 3855-3890, 2018. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix] [Vox EU Article]

  • "Global Firms" (joint with Andrew Bernard, Brad Jensen and Peter Schott), Journal of Economic Literature, 56(2), 565-619, 2018. [PDF] [Vox article] [Related Blog Article by Brad Jensen]

  • "Trade and Inequality: From Theory to Estimation" (joint with Elhanan Helpman, Oleg Itskhoki and Marc Muendler), Review of Economic Studies, 84(1), 357-405, 2017. [PDF] [Online Supplement] [VoxDev article] [Vox article]
    • Reprinted in Trade Liberalization, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Romain Wacziarg, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2018.

  • "Quantitative Spatial Economics" (joint with Esteban Rossi-Hansberg), Annual Review of Economics, 9, 21-58, 2017. [PDF] [Matlab Code] [Vox article]

  • "Quantifying the Sources of Firm Heterogeneity" (joint with Colin Hottman and David Weinstein), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(3), 1291-1364, 2016. [PDF] [Online Supplement] [Code] [VoxEU Article]

  • "Goods Trade, Factor Mobility and Welfare" Journal of International Economics, 101, 148-167, 2016. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix] [Matlab Code]
    • Awarded the Bhagwati Prize 2017.

  • "The Economics of Density: Evidence from the Berlin Wall" (joint with Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Daniel Sturm and Nikolaus Wolf), Econometrica, 83(6), 2015, 2127-2189. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix] [Microeconomic Insights Article] [Economic History Society Blog] [VoxEU Article] [Boston Globe Article] [CEP Centerpiece] [Data and Code]
    • Awarded the Frisch Medal 2018.
    • Reprint requested for The Economics of Agglomeration, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by William C. Strange, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, forthcoming.

  • "New Trade Models, New Welfare Implications" (joint with Marc Melitz), American Economic Review, 105(3), 2015, 1105-1146. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix] [VoxEU Article]

  • "Transportation Costs and the Spatial Organization of Economic Activity" (joint with Matt Turner), in (eds) Gilles Duranton, J. Vernon Henderson and William Strange, Handbook of Urban and Regional Economics, Chapter 20, pages 1339-1398, 2015. revised version of NBER Working Paper, 20235. [PDF]

  • "Missing Gains from Trade?" (joint with Marc Melitz), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 104(5), 317-21, 2014. [PDF] [VoxEU Article] [Marginal Revolution Blog Entry]

  • "Heterogeneous Firms and Trade" (joint with Marc Melitz), Handbook of International Economics, Volume 4, (eds Elhanan Helpman, Gita Gopinath and Kenneth Rogoff), Elsevier: North Holland, Chapter 1, 1-54, 2014. NBER Working Paper, 18652. [PDF] [Web Appendix]

  • "Sources of Wage Inequality" (joint with Anders Akerman, Elhanan Helpman, Oleg Itskhoki and Marc Muendler), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 103(3), 214-219, 2013. [PDF]

  • "Trade and Labor Market Outcomes" (joint with Elhanan Helpman and and Oleg Itskhoki), Advances in Economics and Econometrics, Tenth World Congress, Volume II, Applied Economics, 2013, 459-504. NBER Working Paper, 16662. [PDF]

  • "Testing for Factor Price Equality with Unobserved Differences in Factor Quality or Productivity" (joint with Andrew Bernard and Peter Schott), American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 5(2), 2013, 135-163. [PDF] [Web-based Appendix]

  • "Urbanization and Structural Transformation" (joint with Guy Michaels and Ferdinand Rauch), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127, 535-586, 2012 (lead article). [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix] [Technical Note with Quantitative Version of Model] [VoxEU Article]
    • Reprinted in Recent Developments in the Economics of Structural Change, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Kei-Mu Yi, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2019.

  • "The Empirics of Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade" (joint with Andrew Bernard, Bradford Jensen and Peter Schott), Annual Review of Economics, 4, 283-313, 2012. [PDF]

  • "Multi-product Firms and Trade Liberalization" (joint with Andrew Bernard and Peter Schott), Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(3), 1271-1318, 2011. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix]
    • Reprinted in Trade Liberalization, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Romain Wacziarg, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2018.
  • "Theories of Heterogeneous Firms and Trade", Annual Review of Economics, 3, 77-105, 2011. [PDF] [Web-based Technical Appendix]

  • "History and Industrial Location: Evidence from German Airports" (joint with Daniel Sturm and Nikolaus Wolf), Review of Economics and Statistics, 93(3), 814-831, 2011. [PDF] [Technical Appendix] [Data and Code] [Freakonomics Blog]

  • "Economic Geography: a Review of the Theoretical and Empirical Literature", Chapter 16 in The Palgrave Handbook of International Trade, 2011. [PDF]

  • "Inequality and Unemployment in a Global Economy" (joint with Elhanan Helpman and Oleg Itskhoki), Econometrica, 78(4), 1239-1283, 2010. [PDF] [Technical Appendix] [NBER WP 14122] [NBER WP 14478]
    • Reprinted in Trade and Inequality, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2015.
    • Reprinted in Trade Liberalization, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Romain Wacziarg, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2018.
    • Reprint requested for International Trade and International Investment, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Gianmacro Ottaviano, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, forthcoming.
  • "Wholesalers and Retailers in U.S. Trade (Short Version)" (joint with Andrew Bernard, Bradford Jensen and Peter Schott), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 100(2), 408-413, 2010. [PDF] [Longer Version]

  • "Intra-firm Trade and Product Contractibility (Short Version)" (joint with Andrew Bernard, Bradford Jensen and Peter Schott), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 100(2), 444-448, 2010. [PDF] [Longer Version]

  • "Unequal Effects of Trade on Workers with Different Abilities" (joint with Elhanan Helpman and Oleg Itskhoki), Journal of the European Economic Association, Papers and Proceedings, 8(2-3), 421-433, 2010. [PDF] [Technical Appendix]

  • "Multi-product Firms and Product Switching" (joint with Andrew Bernard and Peter Schott), American Economic Review, 100(1), 70-97, 2010. [PDF] [Technical Appendix] [Code]

  • "The Empirics of New Economic Geography," Journal of Regional Science, 50th Anniversary Special Issue, 50(1), 297-311, 2010. [PDF]

  • "The Margins of US Trade" (joint with Andrew Bernard, Bradford Jensen and Peter Schott), American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 99(2), 487-493, 2009. [Longer WP Version]

  • "Products and Productivity," (joint with Andrew Bernard and Peter Schott), Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Special Issue on Heterogeneous Firms and International Trade, 111(4), 681-709, 2009. [PDF]

  • "Technological Catch-up and Geographic Proximity," (joint with Rachel Griffith and Helen Simpson), Journal of Regional Science, 49(4), 689-720, 2009. [PDF]

  • "The Costs of Remoteness: Evidence from German Division and Reunification" (joint with Daniel Sturm), American Economic Review, 98(5), 1766-1797, 2008. [PDF] [Technical Appendix] [Data and Code] [Trade Talks Podcast]

  • "The Unequal Effects of Liberalization: Evidence from Dismantling the License Raj in India" (joint with Philippe Aghion, Robin Burgess and Fabrizio Zilibotti), American Economic Review, 98(4), 1397-1412, 2008. [PDF] [Data and Code]

  • "The Uneven Pace of Deindustrialization in the OECD" (joint with Stephen Nickell and Joanna Swaffield), World Economy, 31(9), 1154-1184, 2008, [PDF] revised version (May 2008), [Web-based technical appendix], [Previous version].

  • "Relative Wage Variation and Industry Location in the United Kingdom" (joint with Andrew Bernard and Peter Schott), Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 70(4), 431-459, 2008, [PDF]

  • "Empirical Approaches to International Trade", New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2008. [PDF]

  • "Firms in International Trade" (joint with Andrew Bernard, J. Bradford Jensen and Peter Schott), Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(3), 105-130, 2007. [PDF]

  • "Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Firms" (joint with Andrew Bernard and Peter Schott), Review of Economic Studies, 74(1), 31-66, 2007. [PDF] [Code]
    • Reprinted in Trade Liberalization, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Romain Wacziarg, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2018.
    • Reprint requested for International Trade and International Investment, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, edited by Gianmacro Ottaviano, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, forthcoming.

  • "Factor Endowments and Production in European Regions" (joint with Mercedes Vera-Martin), Review of World Economics, 142(1), 2006. [PDF]

  • "Entry Liberalization and Inequality in Industrial Performance" (joint with Philippe Aghion, Robin Burgess and Fabrizio Zilibotti), Journal of the European Economic Association, 3(2-3), 291-302, 2005. [PDF]

  • "Technological Convergence, R&D, Trade and Productivity Growth" (joint with Gavin Cameron and James Proudman) , European Economic Review, 49(3), 775-807, 2005. [PDF]

  • "Mapping the Two Faces of R&D: Productivity Growth in a Panel of OECD Industries" (joint with Rachel Griffith and John Van Reenen), Review of Economics and Statistics, 86(4), 2004. [PDF]

  • "Foreign Ownership and Productivity: New Evidence from the Service Sector and R&D Lab" (joint with Rachel Griffith and Helen Simpson), Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(3), 2004, 440-456. [PDF]

  • "Economic Geography and International Inequality" (joint with Anthony Venables), Journal of International Economics, 62(1), 2004, 53-82. [PDF] [Code to Estimate Market and Supplier Access]

  • "Geography and Export Performance: External Market Access and Internal Supply Capacity" (joint with Anthony Venables), Chapter 3, in (eds) Baldwin, R and Winters, A, Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics, CEPR-NBER conference volume, NBER and Chicago University Press, 2004.

  • "The Location of European Industry" (joint with Karen-Helene Midelfart, Henry Overman and Anthony Venables), Chapter 5 in (eds) Dierx, A, Ilzkovitz, F and Sekkat, K, European Integration and the Functioning of Product Markets, Edward Elgar, 2004.

  • "Distance, Skill Deepening and Development: Will Peripheral Countries Ever Get Rich?" (joint with Peter Schott), Journal of Development Economics, 72(2), 2003, 515-41. [PDF]

  • "R&D and Absorptive Capacity: Theory and Empirical Evidence" (joint with Rachel Griffith and John Van Reenen), Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 105(1), 2003, 99-118. [PDF]

  • "South-East Asian Export Performance: External Market Access and Internal Supply Capacity" (joint with Anthony Venables), Journal of Japanese and International Economies, 2003, 17, 404-31. [PDF] [Code to Estimate Market and Supplier Access]

  • "The Economic Geography of Trade, Production and Income: A Survey of Empirics" (joint with Henry Overman and Anthony Venables), Handbook of International Trade, (eds) E Kwan-Choi and J Harrigan, Basil Blackwell, 353-87, 2003. [PDF]

  • "Specialization Dynamics", Journal of International Economics, 58(2), 2002, 299-334. [PDF]

  • "Path Dependence, Endogenous Innovation, and Growth", International Economic Review, 43(4), 2002, 1215-48. [PDF]

  • "Evolving Patterns of International Trade" (joint with James Proudman), Review of International Economics, 8(3), August, 2000, pages 373-96. Reprinted as Chapter 1 in (eds) E. Kwan Choi and David Greenaway, Globalization and Labour Markets, Basil Blackwell: Oxford. [PDF]

  • "Measuring the Cost-effectiveness of an R&D Tax Credit for the UK" (joint with Rachel Griffith and John Van Reenen), Fiscal Studies, 22(3), September, 2001, pages 375-99. [PDF]

  • "Dynamic Comparative Advantage and the Welfare Effects of Trade", Oxford Economic Papers, 51, January, 1999, 15-39. [PDF]

  • "The Low-skill, Low-quality Trap: Strategic Complementarities between Human Capital and R & D", Economic Journal, March, 1996, pages 458-70. [PDF]

Books

  • Openness and Growth, (eds) James Proudman and Stephen Redding, Bank of England, 1998.

Other Publications

  • Discussion of "Trade and Firm Dynamics," Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, Econometric Society Monographs, forthcoming, 2013.

  • Book Review of The Development and Testing of Heckscher-Ohlin Trade Models, by Robert E. Baldwin, MIT Press, Economica, forthcoming, 2011. [PDF]

  • Discussion of "Exchange Rate Regimes and the Extensive Margin of Trade," by Paul R. Bergin and Ching-Yi Lin, in Jeffrey Frankel and Christopher Pissarides (eds.), CEPR-NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, 2008, 238-240

  • Book Review of Entrepreneurship, Geography and American Economic Growth, by Zoltan J. Acs and Catherine Armington, Cambridge University Press, Journal of Economic Literature, forthcoming, 2008. [PDF]

  • Book Review of Measuring the Restrictiveness of International Trade Policy, by James E. Anderson and J. Peter Neary, MIT Press, forthcoming, 2008. [PDF]

  • Discussion of "Specialisation across Varieties within Products and North-South Competition," by Lionel Fontagne, Guillaume Gaulier, Soledad Zignago, Economic Policy, CEPR, 2007.

  • Discussion of "Tax and Public Input Competition," by Agnes Benassy-Quere, Nicolas Gobalraja and Alain Trannoy, Economic Policy, CEPR, 2007.

  • Book Review of The Monopolistic Competition Revolution in Retrospect, edited by Steven Brakman and Ben Heijdra, Cambridge University Press, Journal of International Economics, forthcoming, 2005.

  • Book Review of The Size of Nations, by Alberto Alesina and Enrico Spolaore, MIT Press, Journal of Economic Literature, March, 2005, 161-2.

  • "Location, Location, Location" (joint with Daniel Sturm), Centrepiece, Summer, 2005, 19-23.

  • "All is Not Equal" (joint with Andrew Bernard, Peter Schott and Helen Simpson), Centrepiece, 8(2), 2003, 2-7.

  • "Yawning Gaps" (joint with Anthony Venables), Centrepiece, 8(1), 2003, 18-25.
  • Book Review of R&D, Education, and Productivity: A Retrospective, by Zvi Griliches, Economic Journal, 2002, F153-F155.
  • "The Economics of Isolation and Distance" (joint with Anthony Venables), Nordic Journal of Political Economy (Conference Volume), 28(2), 2002, pages 93-108. [PDF]

  • "Patterns of Growth" (joint with Stephen Nickell, Stephen Redding, and Joanna Swaffield), Centrepiece, 7(3), 2002, 2-9.
  • "Integration and Industrial Specialisation in the European Union" (joint with Karen Helene Midelfart-Knarvik, Henry Overman, Stephen Redding, and Anthony Venables), Revue Economique, 2001, 53(3), 469-81.
  • "The Location of European Industry" (joint with KarenHelene Midelfart-Knarvik, Henry Overman, and Anthony Venables) Economic Papers no. 142, European Commission, D-G for Economic and Financial Affairs, Brussels, 2000. [PDF]

  • "Globalisation", Economic Review, 17(1), September, 1999, 16-9.
  • "Bridging the Productivity Gap", (joint with Rachel Griffith and John Van Reenen), Centrepiece, 4(3), 1999, 14-19.
  • "Productivity Growth in an Open Economy: the Experience of the UK" (joint with Gavin Cameron and James Proudman), in (eds) Barrell, R, Mason, G and O'Mahony, M Productivity, Innovation and Economic Performance, Cambridge University Press, 1998.

  • "A Summary of the Openness and Growth Project", (joint with James Proudman), Executive Summary in (eds) Proudman and Redding, Openness and Growth, Bank of England, 1998.
  • "Is International Openness Associated with Faster Economic Growth" (joint with James Proudman and Marco Bianchi), Chapter 1 in (eds) Proudman and Redding, Openness and Growth, Bank of England, 1998.
  • "Persistence and Mobility in International Trade" (joint with James Proudman), Chapter 2 in (eds) Proudman and Redding, Openness and Growth, Bank of England, 1998.
  • "Openness and Growth: Theoretical Links and Empirical Estimation", Chapter 3 in (eds) Proudman and Redding, Openness and Growth, Bank of England, 1998.
  • "Deconstructing Growth in UK Manufacturing" (joint with Gavin Cameron and James Proudman), Chapter 4 in (eds) Proudman and Redding, Openness and Growth, Bank of England, 1998.
  • "Openness and its Association with Productivity Growth in UK Manufacturing Industry" (joint with Gavin Cameron and James Proudman), Chapter 5 in (eds) Proudman and Redding, Openness and Growth, Bank of England, 1998.
  • "Productivity Convergence and International Openness" (joint with Gavin Cameron and James Proudman), Chapter 6 in (eds) Proudman and Redding, Openness and Growth, Bank of England, 1998.
  • "Growth in UK Manufacturing Between 1970-92" (joint with Gavin Cameron and James Proudman), Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, May, 1998, pages 145-157.
  • "The Relationship Between Openness and Growth in the United Kingdom: A Summary of the Bank of England Openness and Growth Project" (joint with James Proudman), Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, November, 1997, pages 390-405.
  • "Growth in Open Economies", (joint with Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt and Jonathan Temple), Chapter 11 in Endogenous Growth Theory, Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, MIT Press, 1997.
  • "Principles of Local Government Grant Allocation" (joint with Michael Ridge), Economic Review, April, 1992.


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